decision due · 14 Marapprover · S. Ellery, CEO8 sources · 214 pagesv4 · updated 2h ago
Buildin-house
Leaseandequipourownfacility
↓
↓
↓
↓
Useacontractmanufacturer
recommended
Outsourceassemblyandtesting
↓
↓
↓
↓
Useahybridmodel
Outsourceassembly;owncalibrationandQA
↓
↓
↓
↓
Comparison
Build in-house
Use a contract manufacturer
Use a hybrid model
Capital required
$2.4M
$310k
$680k
First customer delivery
June
February
April
Gross margin at scale
48%
32%
40%
Primary risk
Execution + schedule
Supplier + yield
Handoff complexity
Reversibility
Low
High
Medium
Compare different potential outcomes.
Comparison
Build in-houseIn-houseLease and equip our own facility
Use a contract manufacturerContractrecommended
Use a hybrid modelHybridOutsource assembly; own calibration and QA
Capital required
$2.4M
$310k
$680k
First customer delivery
June
February
April
Gross margin at scale
48%
32%
40%
Primary risk
Execution + schedule
Supplier + yield
Handoff complexity
Reversibility
Low
High
Medium
What it does
Turn real-world circumstances into decision making chains.
A living system
Change a fact, resolve an uncertainty, or add a document—and the recommendation updates.
manufacturing agreement§7.2 · yield clause
First-pass yield ≥ 92%evidence
Vector absorbs reworkrisk · unconfirmed
Convert 3 partnersassumption · 0.49
32% gross marginoutcome · recommended
Monitoring 8 connected sources.
The protocol
How Thalias reasons
We built a framework of seven kinds of node — evidence, calculation, assumption, event, constraint, risk, and outcome — and every map the platform builds is assembled from them.